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HONG KONG: After lurching from deadline to deadline, China Evergrande Group is again on the brink of default, with pessimistic comments from the property developer raising expectations of direct state involvement and a managed debt restructuring.
Having made three 11th-hour coupon payments in the past two months, Evergrande will again face the end of a 30-day grace period on Monday, with dues this time at $82.5 million.
But a statement late on Friday saying creditors had demanded $260 million and that it could not guarantee enough funds for coupon repayment prompted authorities to summon its chairman - and wiped over a sixth off its stock's market value on Monday.
Evergrande was once China's top-selling developer but is now grappling with more than $300 billion in liabilities, meaning a collapse could ripple through the property sector and beyond.
Its statement on Friday was followed by one from authorities in its home province of Guangdong, saying they would send a team to Evergrande at the developer's request to oversee risk management, strengthen internal control and maintain operations.
The central bank, banking and insurance regulator and securities regulator also released statements, saying risk to the broader property sector could be contained.
Short-term risk from a single real estate firm will not undermine market funding in the medium or long term, said the People's Bank of China. Housing sales, land purchases and financing "have already returned to normal in China", it said.
Analysts said authorities' concerted effort signalled Evergrande has likely already entered a managed debt-asset restructuring process to reduce systemic risk.
Morgan Stanley in a report said such a process would involve coordination between authorities to maintain normal operation of property projects, and negotiation with onshore creditors to ensure financing for projects' development and completion.
Regulators would also likely facilitate debt restructuring discussion with offshore creditors after business operations start to stabilise, the U.S. investment bank said.
After the flurry of statements, Evergrande's stock slid as much as 15% on Monday to HK$1.92 - its lowest since May 2010.
Its November 2022 bond - one of two bonds that could go into default on non-payment on Monday - was trading at the distressed price of 20.787 U.S. cents on the dollar, compared with 20.083 cents at the end of Friday.
LIQUIDITY SQUEEZEEvergrande has been struggling to raise capital by disposing of assets, and the government has asked Chairman Hui Ka Yan to use his wealth to repay company debt.
The firm is just one of a number of developers facing an unprecedented liquidity squeeze due to regulatory curbs on borrowing, causing a string of offshore debt defaults, credit-rating downgrades and sell-offs in developers' shares and bonds.